MLB Bot 4th
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Marlins

E. Pérez

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Braves

B. Elder

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Preview

ATLANTA (Interstat) — The Atlanta Braves look to tighten their hold on the NL East when they host the Miami Marlins on Wednesday night at Truist Park in Sandy Springs, where the forecast calls for rain and a game-time temperature of 79 degrees. Right-hander Bryce Elder (7-6) is scheduled to start for Atlanta, while the Marlins counter with right-hander Eury Pérez (5-8). The Braves (68-45) have won six of eight meetings with the Marlins (58-56) this season, outscoring them 46-29. Atlanta took the series opener Tuesday, 4-2, and has won seven of its last 10 overall. Miami has split its last 10. Elder aims to continue a strong stretch. The right-hander has won his last two outings and will be backed by a Braves bullpen that has been effective all season. Pérez will work behind a Miami offense that has scored three runs or fewer in five of the eight games against Atlanta, though the Marlins did plate 12 runs in a May 18 rout. Ryan Gusto is a player to watch for Miami after he took the loss Tuesday despite allowing one earned run over six innings, striking out five. Gusto has a 1-4 record over his past six starts, but he has held opponents to two earned runs or fewer in four of those appearances. The Marlins will need similar efficiency from Pérez to keep pace with an Atlanta lineup that includes Austin Riley, who went 2 for 3 with a home run and two RBIs on Tuesday. For Atlanta, Grant Holmes is worth watching. Holmes started Tuesday’s win, throwing six scoreless innings with five strikeouts while allowing five hits. The right-hander is 3-0 over his last four appearances and has anchored a rotation that has limited Miami’s bats. Holmes’ success is a key reason the Braves hold the division’s best record. The Marlins enter with a 58-56 record, hovering above .500 in the wild-card race. They took two of three from the Mets before dropping Tuesday’s game. Atlanta, meanwhile, swept a three-game set against Washington over the weekend before beating Miami. The season series swings heavily in Atlanta’s direction. Miami’s lone road win at Truist Park came April 13, when the Marlins beat the Braves 10-4. Since then, Atlanta has won six of seven. Interstat’s game simulator projects a 7-5 Braves victory, and the ELO model gives Atlanta a 59.20 percent probability to win. Oddsmakers have installed Atlanta as a 1.5-run favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The teams wrap up the series Thursday afternoon, then both move on (Interstat) — Miami hosting the Los Angeles Angels and Atlanta heading to Yankee Stadium (Interstat) — as part of a jam-packed stretch heading into the postseason.

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