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Preview

Preview: Royals at Cardinals ST. LOUIS (Interstat) — The I-70 Series shifts to Busch Stadium III on Saturday afternoon, where the St. Louis Cardinals (25-18) host the Kansas City Royals (19-25) in the second game of their season series. First pitch is scheduled for afternoon under cloudy skies and 84-degree heat. Right-hander Kyle Leahy (4-3, 5.06 ERA) takes the mound for Kansas City. Leahy has been a steady presence in the rotation, though the Royals have dropped three straight (Interstat) — all by one-run margins at Chicago (Interstat) — and five of their last six overall. St. Louis counters with right-hander Michael McGreevy (2-3, 4.21), who is coming off a dominant stretch. McGreevy has allowed one earned run across his last 18 innings, including a six-inning, one-hit shutout of San Diego on May 8 and a six-inning, three-hit win over the Los Angeles Dodgers on May 2. The Cardinals took Friday’s opener 3-3 in a game that ended in a tie after extra innings (Interstat) — a rarity that underscored the tightness of this rivalry. St. Louis has won four of its last six, while Kansas City has struggled to generate consistent offense, scoring two or fewer runs in four of its past five contests. For Kansas City, reliever Luinder Avila has been a bright spot out of the bullpen. Over his last six appearances, Avila has posted a 1.50 ERA with eight strikeouts in 9 1/3 innings, including back-to-back scoreless outings against the Chicago White Sox on May 12 and May 14. For St. Louis, McGreevy is the player to watch. The right-hander has recorded quality starts in four of his last five outings, striking out 24 batters while walking just four in that span. His ability to induce weak contact (Interstat) — he allowed only five hits in his last two starts combined (Interstat) — makes him a tough matchup for a Kansas City lineup that ranks near the bottom of the National League in batting average. The Interstat game simulator projects a 5-4 St. Louis victory. The ELO system gives the Cardinals a 54.20 percent probability to win. Despite that, oddsmakers have installed Kansas City as a -1.5 favorite on the run line. The over/under is set at 9. Both teams continue their series Sunday before Kansas City returns home to face Boston and St. Louis hosts Pittsburgh.

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