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CLEVELAND (Interstat) — The Cleveland Guardians host the Cincinnati Reds on Saturday, May 16, at 6:10 p.m. at Progressive Field. The Guardians (24-21) enter with a one-game lead over the Reds (23-21) in the early-season standings. Cleveland has won three straight, including a 4-2 victory over the Los Angeles Angels on Wednesday. The Reds are coming off a 15-1 rout of the Washington Nationals on Thursday, snapping a four-game losing streak. Cincinnati is expected to start either left-hander Chris Paddack (0-5, 5.40 ERA) or right-hander Gavin Williams (5-3, 3.12 ERA). Paddack has struggled to a 0-5 record this season, while Williams has been a bright spot. Cleveland will counter with left-hander Parker Messick, who is 3-1 with a 2.70 ERA over his last four starts. Messick allowed two earned runs over 6 2/3 innings in his last outing against the Angels, striking out seven. He has 27 strikeouts against seven walks over his last 23 innings. The forecast calls for 67 degrees with clouds at first pitch. PLAYERS TO WATCH Reds: Designated hitter JJ Bleday has been Cincinnati’s hottest hitter. In Thursday’s rout, Bleday went 3-for-5 with two home runs and six RBIs. Over his last 10 games, he is batting .333 with four home runs and 12 RBIs. Guardians: Messick will be the key. The rookie lefty has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his five starts this season, striking out 32 over 27 innings. He has held opponents to a .215 batting average. HEAD-TO-HEAD The Reds won the series opener 6-1 on Friday. Bleday homered and drove in three in that game. PROJECTION Interstat’s game simulator projects a 5-3 Guardians win. Cleveland is a 57.4 percent favorite per the ELO system. The Guardians are -1.5 on the run line. The over/under is 8. UP NEXT The teams meet again Sunday in Cleveland. The Reds then travel to Philadelphia for a three-game series. The Guardians travel to Detroit for four games starting Monday.

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